The Money Game: NO! Not Everything Happens For A Reason (EP.18)

In the latest episode of The Money Game, Phil and I talk about the old cliché, ‘Everything happens for a reason’.

It’s funny because it doesn’t. Not everything happens for a reason. What’s the reason?

It’s hard for humans to accept the element of randomness. Sure, good things can happen after a tough breakup or losing your job. Like you can meet your future wife or start a successful business, all after what seemed like a negative event in your life. But connecting the 2 dots is silly.

Now, it’s perfectly natural for us as humans to want to do that, but it doesn’t make it right.

We inherently want to learn, and how I see, the best ways to learn are from experiences. Some of the most important lessons I’ve learned came the hard way, for sure. And I can think back to those moments and I’m now thankful for them. But they certainly didn’t happen specifically so I could use that information to my advantage today. They were just events that happened, that fortunately I learned from.

I think to believe that everything does happen for a reason makes you incredibly self-centered. You are a tiny spec of nothing in this massive spinning universe. To think that events all around you are happening for your benefit, or for some made up destiny of yours, seems irresponsible.

Good things happen all the time in bad scenarios. Bad things can also come as a consequence of positive events. For example, the global pandemic was horrible. Many people died, businesses were shut down and so many people have suffered, particularly mentally. BUT, in many cases, families have gotten closer together, a lot of people have gotten in better shape, with more time on their hands to exercise. Many of my friends are thriving in this environment.

That’s life. Things happen. It doesn’t have to be for a reason.

So what’s the prescription? Phil says to just live your life. Be a good person. Enjoy yourself.

We’re here. So let’s make the best of it!

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Money Game Podcast: Go About Your Business (EP.15)

In this episode of the Money Game, Phil and I talk about how Technical Analysts have an advantage in the current global environment. The fact that we’re accustomed to focus on price behavior, and therefore tune out all the noise, we already have those good habits in place for a world filled with more noise than ever. I see people daily poisoning themselves with massive doses of news consumption, particularly horrible things happening all over the world. This conversation brings up some great points about taking care of your business, your family, your health and making sure that the things you can control are in order. If you don’t have your own house in order, you can’t help others. So if you really want to do right by the world, take care of yourself first, and then you will have the ability to help those in need. 

This was a really cool comparison Phil is making about the advantages technicians have in the current world.

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Money Game Podcast: The Mean Reversion Heuristic (EP.14)

There are a lot of people out there who would rather fight trends than take advantage of the ones that are already in place. The idea is they are always looking for the reversion to the mean. And while some think prices always come back to the mean, it’s often forgotten that the mean can also catch up (or down) to price. I learned this lesson the hard way in 2013 and it has served me well ever since. This episode is short and sweet but I think adds a tremendous amount of value.

When I asked Phil to comment on the subject, he said, “Give me someone who can adapt, someone who is flexible over someone who is a rocket scientist any day because I can teach him to ignore that voice inside his head telling him that breakouts must revert.

The mean reversion heuristic is just one more example of how conventional thinking styles, that come hard wired in most of us and which serve us just fine in most environments, require suspension in the trading turret.”

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Money Game Podcast: New Trends For 2020 (EP.13)

In this special episode of The Money Game, Phil asks me about any new trends I’m seeing for 2020. I give him both the sexy answer, that everyone seems to want to hear, and the real answer. I think this was a quick but valuable conversation about US and foreign markets, US Sectors like Technology and Financials and even what we see coming for Bitcoin. We had good timing on this conversation as we’re just getting starting the new year.

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Money Game Podcast: Being A Gamer (Ep.12)

In this Episode of the Money Game Podcast, Pearlman goes off on what a Gamer Lamar Jackson has been. Growing up in Baltimore, Phil a big Ravens fan so we take this opportunity to talk about something really important: Going for it. We look a few weeks back when the head coach believed in Lamar’s enthusiasm to just go for it on 4th down and it most certainly paid off! You live once and have the option to either go out there and get it, or always think back wondering what if? Whatever it is that’s your thing – just go for it!

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Money Game Podcast: Stocks At New Highs & Bulls At New Lows (EP.11)

In this episode of the Money Game Podcast Phil and I talk about the stock market making all-time highs while sentiment points to very few bulls. This is an interesting dynamic where the behavior of the market is pointing to one thing and the behavior and emotions of society are saying something different. I’ve been in the camp that this negative sentiment unwind is precisely the catalyst to take stocks much higher, not just in the U.S. but around the world. It’s very rare to have stocks this strong, yet so few people betting on higher stock prices. It’s pretty awesome. We also talk about the deterioration, or at least an end to the expansion we’re seeing, in the upside participation in stocks. We’re seeing MORE stocks, sectors and global indexes participating to the upside, not fewer. Until that stops, we want to keep looking for stocks to buy.

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