All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 21: Chris Ciovacco, Chief Investment Strategist, Ciovacco Capital Management

Chris Ciovacco is someone whose work I’ve followed for many years. His approach to markets is similar to mine, in that he incorporates a weight-of-the-evidence technical strategy. His open-mindedness and ability to set up multiple outcomes to prepare for, is one to be admired. In this episode, Chris walks through his thought process when analyzing the current environment. He makes a great comparison to early 2009 and asks whether we’re in January ’09, just before another severe decline in stocks, or in May, on the way up after already bottoming.

This is a great episode that I hope makes you think differently and inspires you to keep an open mind and come up with your own possible scenarios for the coming months and quarters. This was a fun one!

Make sure to follow Chris Ciovacco on Twitter and at Ciovacco Capital Management

Click here return to the episode page

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 20: Adam Koos, Founder of Libertas Wealth Management Group

Adam Koos is a portfolio manager who uses Technical Analysis to make decisions for the clients he advises. In times like these, Financial Advisors all over the world are getting asked the hard questions. In this episode, Adam talks about how Technical Analysis has helped both his decision making and the communication with the families he works for. It’s really cool to see these tools helping advisors everywhere, and especially a friend who I speak to regularly about markets and other common interests, like sports and wine.

Adam and I were coincidentally both featured in a Wall Street Journal article this week where we shared some of our favorite tools to help us in the current environment. He is the Founder of Libertas Wealth Management Group, and I loved hearing his stories about how his career first started 20 years ago and the path that led him to where he is today. We also hear his thoughts on the current market environment and the kinds of things we should be thinking about.

I really enjoyed this episode. He brings up some great points that hopefully opens up a larger dialogue.

Click here return to the episode page

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 19: Mike Hurley, Chief Market Strategist for Highland Capital Management

Mike Hurley has been an inspiration to me for many years. When it comes to market breadth, this is the guy. He’ll tell you he learned it from his predecessors and how he’s standing on the shoulders of giants and all those things he discusses in this episode, but for me personally, he’s been a great influence for sure. Many of you know how seriously I take my breadth work and how valuable it has been to so many of us for many years. It’s people like Mike and others who have helped my process evolve to where it is today.

This was a really fun podcast for me because the topic of market breadth and internals is so near and dear to my heart. In this podcast episode, Mike and I talk about history and how different turning points in the stock market have been led by breadth deterioration (at tops) and breadth improvement (at bottoms). We also discuss 2020 so far and how breadth was deteriorating well before the S&P500 and Dow hit their ultimate highs. Once again, it was breadth that got us out of the way of trouble this cycle. Give this one a listen. I think it’s one of those episodes that can live for a lifetime and help people many years (or decades) into the future.

Click here return to the episode page

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 18: Larry McDonald, Bear Traps Report & NY Times Best Selling Author

Larry McDonald is the guy I turn to when I want to talk about the Bond Market. He always has something insightful about what’s happening that I’m probably not seeing. We’ve become friends over the years but I originally got to know who Larry was by reading his book, Colossal Failure of Common Sense. This is a book about the collapse of Lehman Brothers being told by a bond trader inside the firm. I encourage you to pick it up and give it a read. It will give you good insight as to what exactly was taking place at the time. In this podcast Larry tells us a good story about the day his team had the most profitable day in the history of the bond desk at Lehman and Dick Fuld didn’t even bother to come down and say hi.

The market today is different than it was in 2019. What’s going on in the bond market is playing a huge role. I couldn’t think of a better time that the present to bring in my friend Larry McDonald to discuss what we’re seeing out there in the markets. This is always a lot of fun talking to one of my favorites!

Click here return to the episode page

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 17: Jeff Hirsch, Author of The Stock Trader’s Almanac

Jeff Hirsch is the Author of the Annual Stock Trader’s Almanac. He, and before that his father Yale Hirsch, has been publishing the must-read almanac every year since 1967. This year is the 53rd edition of the Almanac and a lot of the smartest traders I know keep the most recent copy on their desk. I personally have issues I’ve kept going back decades. When it comes to Seasonality, whether it’s the 1-year cycle, Presidential cycle, or even intra-month and intra-week cycles, Jeff is the person I turn to first. The month of January brings along a ton of information we can use to help us make decisions in the stock market the rest of the year. The track record is pretty spectacular, as we discuss in this episode. Today, Jeff uses these seasonal trends to help him in his role as Chief Strategist at Probabilities Fund Management. In this episode of the podcast we discuss what the down January might mean for the rest of this year, how markets tend to behave on Election Years and why Seasonal trends are so important to recognize.

Charts and Graphs for this Episode are all available inside the 2020 Stock Trader’s Almanac

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 16: Chris Cain, Senior Quantitative Researcher at Connors Research

On this episode of the podcast I’m really excited to bring in Quantitative Researcher Chris Cain. Chris found his love for building trading systems while he was a market maker in the bond market for over 10 years. Today he works with Larry Connors and just published a book called The Alpha Formula that you can purchase at a discounted price at Tradingmarkets.com. (Use the Promo Code: “TAF2020” to get the book at half price!) We laugh during the podcast that Chris is so hardcore about this stuff the he actually teaches a course in Python specifically for traders and building strategies. His goal with these systems is to recognize and take advantage of our human behavior flaws so we go over a bunch of those, which I always think is helpful. He also walks through one of the 4 models and explains how having several uncorrelated strategies increases risk adjusted returns. This was a really fun conversation with one of the smart ones!

Click here to see all of the Charts mentioned in this episode