I can’t believe I’m publishing the 100th Episode of this podcast that I started in the summer of 2017. My first guest ever was Ralph Acampora! I mean, how could it not be right? Since then I’ve had the privilege of interviewing Portfolio Managers, Traders, Analysts, Best Selling Authors and even a World Series of Poker Champion! People all over the world have approached me how much they’ve learned from listening to the podcasts. It’s been an amazing experience for me all around.
Since it’s Episode 100, how can I not invite Ralph back on the show to talk markets? In this episode Ralph describes the recent trip that him and I took to India. We both had an awesome time and are blown away by the interest out there for Technical Analysis. It really is incredible. He thinks we’re going to see breakouts in Gold and Silver soon but that’s not necessarily bad for stocks. Both can rise together.
I always enjoy my conversations with Ralph. He has great old stories about technicians that we’re too young to remember or even know about. He’s good with giving credit to some of his predecessors that probably don’t get the recognition these days that they deserve. Louise Yamada for example gets a lot of credit for the phrase, “The bigger the base, the higher in space”. But she’ll tell you that she got that from her boss and mentor Alan Shaw. And Alan will tell you that he learned it from his boss.
So I think it’s important to remember the ones who came before us. I would argue that over 95% of what you see me do, say and talk about comes from something I learned from my colleagues and/or predecessors. I didn’t make any of this stuff up. The credit goes to all of them and in most cases they have all been guests on this podcast. I want the world to be able to learn from the people that I learned from and continue to learn from every day. Ralph is a great example, obviously!
This week on the podcast I’m thrilled to have Quint Tatro join me as our guest. I’ve been following his work for a long time and have always appreciated his technical approach to managing portfolios at his advisory firm Joule Financial. This was a great conversation where Quint walks us through how he got to Technical Analysis in the first place and how he applies those methods on a daily basis. We went over the overall stock market and how he wants to overweight International Stocks and Emerging markets heading into 2020. He also likes Gold bigger picture here and the mining stocks that come a long with it. I really enjoyed this one. Give it a listen!
Walter Deemer has been a Technical Analyst for 57 years, after starting his career at Merrill Lynch working for legendary Technician Bob Farrell. He is a founding member and past president of the CMT Association and coined the phrase, “When the time comes to buy, you won’t want to!”,which is the title of one of the books he’s authored. We’re lucky to have someone on the podcast who was in the business at a time when interest rates were NOT in a downtrend! In this episode, Walter talks to us about what it was like charting in the 1960s and 70s and what sentiment was like as we entered the 1980s and one of the greatest economic expansions in America history. “Watch their feet, not their mouths”, is what Walter Deemer says when he encourages us to look at what investors are doing, rather than their opinions. This was a great conversation where we discuss what he calls our “Shoulda Fund” and what the Breakaway Momentum Strategy (breadth thrusts) means to him. I really enjoyed this one!
I’ve been a fan of Tony Dwyer’s work for a long time. Those of you who know me see me approach the market from a top/down global macro and intermarket perspective. Tony starts his process in a similar way at Cannacord Genuity and Dwyerstrategy.com. When we’re talking about the next direction for stocks, we both focus on other assets like credit to help identify big trends. We look at the behavior of commodity and currency markets to make decisions in equities. I thought this was a really fun conversation. I particularly enjoyed Tony’s comparisons to 1995 and what was going on then with respect to the President’s public issues, interest rates, precious metals and the US Dollar. This podcast could have gone on forever if we let it, but we kept it short and concise so we could get to the point quickly.
This is a podcast about Technical Analysis and its practitioners. I think we’ve done a good job of bringing in some of the top technicians in the business, and in some cases, some of the best that ever did it. My goal when I first started this was to talk to people who bring different perspectives on the subject and on the markets in general. We’ve had Portfolio Managers, Analysts, Traders, Authors and Psychologists come on regularly over the past few years. Today I am thrilled to invite Riley Rosenberger to the podcast to get his point of view on Technical Analysis and what it feels like to start a career as a trader. Riley interned for us last year after spending some time training with SMB Capital in New York City. “Riley The Intern”, as he’s known in some circles, brings a unique perspective that we haven’t heard on this podcast before. When he first decided that he wanted to learn about trading, his High School teacher in Colorado told him to think about doing something else. She said he didn’t have the pedigree for that. I love that he ignored her and I love even more that every time I see him, he has a new book in his hand. He’s always learning and constantly goes out of his way to get ahead. I appreciate that and I really think you’ll enjoy this conversation. I certainly did!
This is a mashup of 3 live conversations I had with market experts at the CMT Symposium last month. Andrew Thrasher joins us to talk about market breadth. David Keller and I discuss how hard it is for people, especially market participants, to say “I don’t know”. And Rob Koyfman, the founder of Koyfin Charts, explains how investors all over the world are using his groundbreaking data analytics tools.